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Table 3

Associations between prognostic factors and outcome

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
CentralizationPositive [25] a[55]a [67]a [25] a[38]a[67]a

short-termNone[67][55][37]

CentralizationPositive [25] a [25] a[67]a [55]a [67]a

long-termNone[67][32−/−] [67][55][32−/−] [67][55][32−/−] [67]

PeripheralizationPositive [25] a [25] a

short-termNone[38]

PeripheralizationPositive [25] a [25] a

long-termNone [32−/−] [32−/−] [32−/−]

Palpation tone, pain, symmetryPositive

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
short-termnone[54][37][54][72][68] [45−/−]

Palpation tone, pain, symmetryPositive [48] b

long-termnone[54][54][64][69]

Palpation mobilityPositive [46+/+] a [37+/+] a

short-termnone [36?/-] [39][38][36?/-] [36?/-]

ROM3 spinePositive [29] a

short-termNone [47?/-] [37][46][38][33] [47?/-] [68][47?/-] [29][33]

ROM3 spinePositive[35][28] [48] b [50+/+][62+/?] a [29]

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
long-termNone [63?/-] [35][30] b[66][28][31][50] [62][66][64] [69+/−] [65][29]

FFD4 Positive [72−/+] a [45+/−]

short-termNone [47?/-] [44−/−] [47?/-] [47?/+][68][72]

FFD4 Positive [49+/−]

long-termNone[35][35][43−/−]

Schober’s testPositive [70+/−] b

long-termNone[28][28][69]

Aberrant spinal movementPositive [46+/+] a [33+/−]

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
short-termNone[33]

ROM3 of the hipPositive [37 − +/+]

short-termNone[68] [29]

ROM3 of the hipPositive[62]b [29]

long-termNone [63−/−] [31] [29]

SI5 motion symmetry testsPositive

short-termNone[37]

Pain on spinal movementPositive[68]a

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
short-termNone[54][54][68]

Pain on spinal movementPositive

long-termNone[54][56][54][56][56]

SI5 provocation testsPositive [40+/+]

short-termNone[37][46][40]

SI5 provocation testsPositive

long-termNone [63?/-]

Prone instability testPositive [46+/+] a

short-termNone

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
PercussionPositive

short-termNone[65]

PercussionPositive

long-termNone[65]

Muscle endurancePositive

short-termNone[59][46]

Muscle endurancePositive[35][27] [27]

long-termNone[35][59][27] [35][27][57] [27][31][27]

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
Muscle strengthPositive

short-termNone[46]

Muscle strengthPositive[28] [48] b [28]

long-termNone[31]

Neurological signsPositive[44] [44+/+] [63] [72−/+][68] [29]

short-termNone[65][51][42][63][72] [29]

Neurological signsPositive [43+/−][63?/+] [43+/−][30] b [58+/−] [29]

long-termNone[28][63?/-] [43−/−] [58][28][60][50][64][69][65][29]

SLR6 Positive [46−/+][63] [65+/−][63] [72+/+][68] [29]

short-termNone[51][33][72][26] [45−/−][29][33]

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
SLR6 Positive [30] b[61] [69+/−] [29]

long-termNone[28][35][56][70−/−][63?/-] [56][66][35][58][28][60][66][64][56][26][65]

Cross SLR6 Positive[34]

short-termNone[38]

Cross SLR6 Positive

long-termNone [63?/-]

Femoral stretchPositive [72+/+][68]

short-termNone[72]

Femoral stretchPositive

long-termNone[58]

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
Naffziger signPositive

short-termNone[72]

Non-organic signsPositive[73] [29]

short-termNone[37] [29]

Non-organic signsPositive [52+/+][41+/?] [41+/?]

long-termNone [30] b [53+/−][58+/−][71] [41+/?] [29]

Functional testsPositive

short-termNone[68]

Functional testsPositive [29][61]

long-termNone[27] [30] b[27][31][27][62][27] [29]

Prognostic indicator at baseline Association with poor outcome Pain Disability Return to work UHC 1 GI 2 Combination
Leg length discrepancyPositive [29]

short-termNone [29]

Leg length discrepancyPositive

long-termNone[64]
Bold indicates multivariable analysis, +/+ = result of univariate analysis/result of multivariable analysis,
apredictor of recovery,
bdirection of association unsure,
1UHC = use of health care services or medication,
2GI = general. improvement,
3ROM = range of motion,
4FFD = fingertip to floor distance,
5SI = sacroiliac,
6SLR = straight leg raise.